Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Several the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if that maybe what your issue is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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